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Trump’s 2024 Election Victory: Swing States Recap & Kamala Harris’s Defeat Explained

Updated: Nov 18


Donald Trump speaking to a crowd during his 2024 campaign, highlighting key voter concerns like immigration and the economy.
Donald Trump speaking to a crowd during his 2024 campaign, highlighting key voter concerns like immigration and the economy.

Join us as we dive into the House and Senate results and confront the pressing question: What really happened in 2020?


Don't miss this detailed breakdown of the most intense election you will see.


Trump’s Path to Victory

Trump’s 2024 Victory: Swing States Recap & Kamala Harris’s Defeat Explained


Trump secured 312 electoral votes by winning critical battleground states like Wisconsin, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Arizona. His focus on immigration and economic issues resonated with voters. Narrow but consistent wins.


  • North Carolina: Despite natural disasters, voter turnout remained strong thanks to effective mobilization.

  • Georgia: Early polling showed Trump’s lead, which matched the final results.

  • Pennsylvania: A close but crucial win for Trump that solidified his path to the presidency.

  • Wisconsin and Michigan: Both states were close, but union workers and blue-collar voters supported Trump’s economic policies.

  • Arizona and Nevada: Immigration was the main issue, and Trump’s stance won over many voters.


Polling That Got It Right


Accurate polling from Rasmussen Reports and Atlas Intel helped predict the election results. These polls provided reliable data, especially in the swing states. Their consistent accuracy earned recognition.


In recognition of their consistent accuracy, even amid criticism from media and competing pollsters, Atlas and Rasmussen were awarded the prestigious “Platinum Polling Award.


Meanwhile, media outlets that relied on biased polling to influence public opinion faced widespread criticism for prioritizing narratives over accuracy.


Shifting Trends in Blue States


Significant shifts emerged in traditionally Democratic strongholds, with states like New York, Illinois, and California showing reduced Democratic margins. Trump improved his share of the vote compared to 2020, reflecting growing discontent with the Democratic. Additionally, changing demographics and evolving voter priorities suggest these states may experience a realignment, potentially favoring Republicans in future elections.


Senate and House Shift


After winning the presidency, Republicans secured control of the Senate and, soon after, the House, achieving full control of the federal government. This sweep gives the GOP a rare chance to pass significant reforms and address voter priorities—provided they use this opportunity effectively.


Key Voter Concerns and Campaign Analysis


Trump’s campaign centered on critical issues like immigration, economic growth, and government accountability, which resonated with a broader range of voters. Kamala Harris, on the other hand, focused on reproductive rights and protecting democracy, appealing to specific groups but lacking widespread voter alignment. Trump’s focus on core economic and governance concerns ultimately proved to be the winning strategy.



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